A Local Doctor’s View of Covid-19 AAPS (Association of American Physicians and Surgeons) response to proposed epidemiological model used by Dallas County Judge for Texas By DR. SHEILA PAGE, President of Texas AAPS The model presented has a number of limitations and is likely to be an exaggerated estimate of deaths for the state of Texas. It does not take into account the limitations of the available data, which include selection bias due to limited number of tests, high false positives and false negatives of the test widely used, differences in social structure, population density, population health and risk factors such as smoking among the nations reporting data. “Reasonable estimates for the case fatality ratio in the general U.S. population vary from 0.05% to 1%. … A population-wide case fatality rate of 0.05% is lower than seasonal influenza. If that is the true rate, locking...